*Site is under construction – full Site Coming Soon* Market look for April 4, 2017

Stock market indices and yesterday’s changes
How did the overall markets do yesterday?

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 20,689.24 (+39.03, +0.19%)
Reflects changes in 30 well-known stocks (e.g. Apple, General Electric, IBM, Exxon Mobil). Daily movements  of +/- 100 points are considered to be large.

S&P 500: 2,360.16 (+1.32, +0.06%)
Reflects changes in 500 stocks that includes large companies across all sectors. Because it consists of so many diverse companies, it is considered one of the best representations of how the stock market is doing. Daily movements of +/- 10 points are considered to be large

NASDAQ: 5,898.61 (+3.93, +0.07%)
Reflects changes in an index of more than 3,000 stocks that consists mainly of technology companies. Stocks such as Google, Amazon.com, and Microsoft are traded on the NASDAQ. Daily movements of +/- 30 points are considered to be large.

Top financial headlines
What caused the markets to go up or down yesterday?

Trump said that he is planning financial deregulation
Trump’s administration is working on Dodd-Frank banking regulations that will make it easier for banks to loan money. As mentioned many times on Coherent Finance, much of the rise in stock prices has been driven by investor hopes for corporate tax reform, financial deregulation, and infrastructure spending. This latest commentary around financial deregulation helps to reinforce the positive thesis around financial stocks.

However, the devil will be in the details as similar to healthcare, financial regulation is extremely controversial so repealing any parts of it will be very challenging. Jamie Dimon, CEO of J.P. Morgan, yesterday in a letter to shareholders mentioned that his firm is seeking a rework of certain rules and regulations within Dodd-Frank, but not a repeal. The uncertainty around what will be done on this front was reflected in stock prices yesterday as financial stocks slightly underperformed the broader markets.

Retail stocks went down, a lot, again

Already the worst sector in 2017, retail stocks fell sharply yesterday following a new round of bad news for the sector. Declines in same store sales, downgrades, and news that Ralph Lauren would be closing its flagship Manhattan store and cutting jobs all contributed to declines in the sector. Most retail stocks were negative contributors to stock markets yesterday.

Broader financial news
These headlines may not have moved markets yesterday, but they describe general trends in financial markets or events that may impact the longer-term. Due to the longer-term focus, this section may not be updated daily.

Richmond Fed’s Jeffrey Lacker Steps Down Over His Role in 2012 Leak Case – WSJ
Jeffrey Lacker, the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President, announced on Tuesday that he would be stepping down due to his involvement in an alleged leak of confidential information back in 2012. In October 2012, Mr. Lacker spoke with an analyst from a firm called Medley Global Advisors. That analyst had confidential information around Fed policy options, and Mr. Lacker believes he may have confirmed or acknowledged the private information. Although Mr. Lacker was expected to retire from the Fed on October 1 of this year, his early departure is important because 1) Lacker was considered to be “hawkish” – meaning he favored higher interest rates and 2) Although Trump will not be nominating Lacker’s replacement since this is for a regional bank position, between now and June 2018 Trump does have the option to renominate or replace Fed Chair Janet Yellen as well as Vice Chair Stan Fischer, meaning the Fed (which sets the level of interest rates) could look a lot different very soon.

PM May triggers ‘historic’ Brexit – Reuters
On March 29, Prime Minister Theresa May officially triggered Article 50 of the EU’s Lisbon Treaty and notified EU President Donald Tusk that Britain would be leaving the European Union. This follows the June 2016 referendum vote in which 51.9% of British citizens voted to leave the EU. The Prime Minister now has 2 years to negotiate the terms of Brexit before it comes into effect in March 2019. May’s challenge will be to negotiate with the other 27 EU states on issues such as trade, security, and finance, while also managing renewed calls from Scotland nationals for their own independence referendum.

Infrastructure overhaul may top $1 trillion, cut red tape: TrumpBloomberg
Donald Trump has said his infrastructure plan could top $1 trillion in spending to improve the electrical grid and water systems, and rebuild roads, airports, and bridges, among other things. He also promised to speed up approval of infrastructure projects and to cut red tape, saying he would not fund projects that could not be started within 90 days. The stock market rally has been driven by hopes around Trump’s promises to cut corporate taxes, push regulation, and fund infrastructure spending. However, the setback to the administration seen a couple of weeks ago in their efforts to repeal and replace Obamacare has led many to doubt what Trump will be able to get through Congress. While unlikely to happen anytime soon as Republicans continue to focus on their other agenda items, if Trump is able to pass a large infrastructure bill, that would be a positive for stocks.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s